Magic Millions Raceday Preview
"The Magic Millions race day on the Gold Coast headlines this weekend's action and The 'Cock has analysed the full nine-race card in his metro cheat sheet alongside the quaddie legs from Randwick, Flemington, Gawler & Ascot."
Cheat Sheet
Flemington Race 6
Believing (11) rates on top of what looks like a very competitive and even race, with Annrhon (18) next ahead of a big bunch of Punt Club (1), Bob Of The Head (5), O’Lonhro Bay (19), Strykinglee (12) & Scappare (12).
Believing has been solid in his two starts back this prep despite missing the money both times at Sandown over 1000m, but The ‘Cock expects the step up to 1100m will see further improvement given his career-best runs have been over 1200m. Hard to have too much confidence given how tight the race is but he rates a $6 top chance for The ‘Cock.
A last start fourth at Werribee doesn’t tend to suggest that she’s banging the door down but Annrhon rated quite highly in that effort second up, and her only prior run down the straight last year would be good enough for her to win this if replicated. Rates a $10 chance for The ‘Cock so is a good value rough chance at double that price currently.
Recommended Betting Strategy:
- With both of Believing & Annrhon providing strong value for money at their current $9 & $23 top quotes, The ‘Cock would have a proportional bet on both of those runners and look to play the quaddie quite conservatively, with all listed numbers going in to get through the first leg.
Gold Coast Race 7
Sasso Corbaro (15) & Pierata (1) rate on top with nothing splitting them and The ‘Cock would be surprised if the winner came from elsewhere, though Wild Heart (9) & Bel Sonic (6) are the biggest dangers to them.
Sasso Corbaro is the only filly in the field which brings a handy weight advantage with it, and after two dominant wins in Sydney to start her campaign The ‘Cock has her marked as the best bet of the top two given the value differential between them at $5.50 and $2.50 respectively. She is going to need some luck from the wide gate but there are enough horses on her inside that will drop back to help her get in and she’s the pick of the bunch.
Pierata could hardly have done any more in his three starts this campaign at Doomben for three convincing wins and is a deserved favourite, though The ‘Cock rates his recent efforts just below that of Sasso Corbaro and while he considers him a top winning chance he can see the $2.30 odds through to the keeper.
Recommended Betting Strategy:
- Sasso Corbaro is the bet of the race at the current top quote of $6, which is great value when compared to the $2.30 on offer for the fellow top rater Pierata. Such is The ‘Cock’s confidence in these two that he could easily go in with those two alone in the quaddie, though he certainly wouldn’t be looking any further than the next two listed runners for wider plays.
Randwick Race 9
Vaucluse Bay (6) & Emperors Way (9) are The ‘Cock’s clear top raters here, with Coys (7) the next in line and clear of a wall of horses rating behind him.
Vaucluse Bay has improved each time out this campaign which has coincided with a step up in distance, so fourth-up today over his optimum 1800m The ‘Cock believes he is ready to win. Will get across from the wide draw and sit just off the leaders and looks a good bet rating as a $3.80 chance.
Emperors Way has been rating well in his three starts back this prep which has seen him fill each step on the podium once, and while matching those efforts will put him in the mix here, The ‘Cock is not sure he has the scope of Vaucluse Bay. Must respect his claims but The ‘Cock won’t lose sleep letting the $5 quote pass by.
Recommended Betting Strategy:
- The ‘Cock can’t fault Vaucluse Bay in this and will be looking to wind up proceedings in Sydney with a strong profit after putting chips on the very juicy $5 overs on offer. Keep your focus in this one narrow and bank that one of Vaucluse Bay & Emperors Way will get the job done to close out the quaddie, with Coys the only other one he would have if determined to look wider.