Flemington Race 3 - 1.40pm

Looks to be just two real chances here, likely leader Mamzelle Tess (3) and classy blackmarker Sharing (6). The ‘Cock has further dissected this and believes Mamzelle Tess (3) could have more company up front than the general betting market anticipates, with Spanish Reef (4) and Miss Adequate (10) two runners that can race on pace as well.

Sharing (6) is a super consistent mare from boutique stable, last two runs in particular have rated highly with a win at Flemington over 1400m then a placing at Caulfield over same trip. Smaller field means she shouldn’t get as far back here and afforded the luxury of long straight, she looks the one to beat.

Her main (and only real) danger is Mamzelle Tess (3), makes her own luck up front on the speed and has record to suggest she will give a good kick in the final stages. The ‘Cock wants over $5.00 to get involved with her.

Recommended betting strategy: 

• Put a pen through this field barring Sharing (4) and Mamzelle Tess (3). Have your bigger bet on Sharing (4), smaller one on Mamzelle Tess (take both at Best of the Best).

Randwick Race 6 - 4.25pm

Disappointed Winx didn’t run in the G2 Apollo Stakes, she raced well under her best first up in the spring and as she ages, she looks to be peaking later in her campaigns and could have been vulnerable against some smart middle distance types.

Stevie Wonder could plot Global Glamour (8) going to the front here, has returned in better order than form would suggest and she will get more favours on the pace here in a small field. The ‘Cock not a big fan of the jockey change with Ruth King replacing Kerrin McEvoy but at $5.00+, he’s very keen to be on her.

Top rater is Addictive Nature (9), beaten as favourite first-up behind Trapeze Artist but there were excuses there as he found trouble in the straight when positioned on the inside. Last prep when he jumped from 1200m to 1400m, he showed a significant spike in performance yet he only needs to maintain his first-up rating to be the runner to beat.

Comin’ Through (6) resumes here and has gone up very short around $4.40. Has ability but better over more ground and has come up short off some good trials which have somewhat overrated his true chance of winning this.

Recommended betting strategy: 

• The ‘Cock will be looking to get two real positions on this race. Have big bet on Addictive Nature (9) and medium sized bet on Global Glamour (8).

Doomben Race 8 - 5.53pm

Familiar field of QLD sprinters, Boomwaa (8) will obviously hunt forward early with Il Mio Destino (5) not too far away behind him. 

Impressed by the win of Malvern Estate (14) at Sunshine Coast last start, beating Just Orm (13) in relatively quick time and making it three in a row. Pushed out slightly to 1100m and into city grade means we’ll get a good price about him with anything over $4.40 great value.

Just Orm (13) and Tisani Tomso (4) will benefit from the likely fast speed and loom as the main dangers.

The ‘Cock is keen to risk Supreme Effort (1) up from Sydney, doesn’t have form to warrant being under $9.00 in this yet is the current early favourite.

Recommended betting strategy:

• Certainly not a race worthy of breaking your daughters porcelain pig, but have a small bet on Malvern Estate (14) at Best of the Best.