Moonee Valley (Fri) Race 7

They’ll scoot along here in the G3 Typhoon Tracy with Regimen (6), Pretty Fast (4) and Kardashing (7) the likely leaders.

The ‘Cock has found his lay of the night in much hyped Coolmore filly Tulip (1). She was a top liner last spring, contesting The Everest as a 3yo and running a commendable fifth beaten under three lengths by Redzel. Her two subsequent runs however have been well below best and there is huge doubt around her rediscovering form of her 2yo and early 3yo campaigns. Maps to sit midfield and unless she is blessed with a 10/10 ride from Kerrin McEvoy, she looks big unders at $3.00.

Bella Martini (2) has had small freshen up for this, has won last three starts culminating in a narrow Listed Gosford Guineas win over 1200m. Winner at the track, she’ll be handy to the leaders mid race and rates on top, with the $4.40 quote in early markets appealing.

Can’t fault Regimen (6), she was so consistent in her first campaign from start to finish and if she has improved over the summer while spelling, she could prove very hard to run down. $5.50+ is good value.

Recommended Betting Strategy:

Playing around the short priced favourite Tulip (1), back Bella Martini (2) and Regimen (6) to get the better of her, with $3.70+ and $5.50+ respectively the value to seek.

Caulfield Race 8

Champagne edition of the G1 Oakleigh Plate, with a capacity field of 18 and many different formlines to dissect but from a punting perspective, the early market looks well priced which lessens any immediate value plays.

First-up specialist (unbeaten from three starts when resuming) Russian Revolution (2) rates on top, The ‘Cock marking him at $4.40. He is still generally underrated despite winning six of his ten career starts. If he can rate within a length of his previous three first-up runs, he will take a power of beating. He’ll be handy and has shown in the past he can overcome poor barrier manners and wide runs to still win.

Behind him it is wide open, the next best are marked as Catchy (17), She Will Reign (16), Snitty Kitty (8) and Booker (18).

Recommended Betting Strategy:

Don’t need to overthink this race, medium sized Best of the Best bet with Neds on first-up jet Russian Revolution (2).

Rosehill Race 7

Highlight of the day with cracking field assembled for the G1 Hobartville Stakes for the 3yo’s. Siege Of Quebec (6) should get over from barrier 10 to cross with Trapeze Artist (2) and Kermentari (3) relatively handy to the leader.

The ‘Cock is firmly in the Kermentari (3) camp, he looks the real deal this campaign with a commanding first-up rating as easily the best run of his career. Rise to 1400m really suits now, maps to get a charmed run and unless Glyn really outdoes himself with an ‘Up n Rolling’ type slaughter, this colt looks the goods with $2.40+ still good value.

Trapeze Artist (2) is the next best but touch of unders at current quote of $4.20 despite being a G1 winner over this trip. Side by side with Kermentari (3) heading into the straight, The ‘Cock is nudging strongly that he won’t be able to go with him.

Recommended Betting Strategy:

Kermentari (3) looks the best horse in terms of ability and speed map positioning. Big whack at $2.40+ with Bet365.